A 65-year-old man presents with increasing fatigue and shortness of breath. Examination of his peripheral blood finds pancytopenia, and a few (less than 5%) immature cells are present. Some of the neutrophils are bilobed (Pelger-Huët change) and a dimorphic red blood cell population is seen. A bone marrow biopsy reveals a hypercellular marrow with about 15% of the cells being immature cells. Approximately 20% of the red cell precursors have iron deposits that encircled the nucleus. Which of the following is the most likely cause of these clinical findings?