A 28-year-old African-American woman has had worsening fatigue for the past 2 months. On physical examination she has an erythematous macular rash on her upper chest, forearms, and face. Laboratory studies show Hgb 9.2 g/dL, Hct 27.9%, MCV 101 fL, platelet count 179,000/microliter, and WBC count 5850/microliter. The red blood cell distribution width is markedly increased. Her peripheral blood smear shows polychromasia. Her reticulocyte count is 4.2%. The serum haptoglobin is 3 mg/dL. Serum chemistries show total protein 7.9 g/dL, albumin 3.8 g/dL, alkaline phosphatase 49 U/L, AST 81 U/L, ALT 27 U/L, total bilirubin 3.3 mg/dL, and direct bilirubin 0.8 mg/dL. Hemoglobinuria is detected on urinalysis. Which of the following underlying conditions is she most likely to have?